Journal of the Korean Academy of Pediatric Dentistry 2007;34(1):43-52.
Published online February 28, 2007.
A REVIEW ON THE DEMAND ESTIMATION MODEL FOR THE PEDIATRIC DENTISTS IN KOREA
부산대학교 치과대학 소아치과학교실 
소아치과 전문의 수요추계 모형에 관한 고찰
이문영, 정태성, 김신
부산대학교 치과대학 소아치과학교실
Correspondence:  , 
Abstract
The supply and demand planning the pediatric dentists is earnest, because of the start of the dental specialist system on 2008 and aging society with low fertility. Therefore in order to develop the model, that is adequate to estimate demand for the pediatric dentists, a studies on the supply and demand planing of other health manpower were reviewed. The obtained results were as follows : 1. The health demand method was appropriate for demand estimation of the pediatric dentists. 2. There was independent variables needed for demand estimation model: prevalence, utilization rate, referral rate, fertility rate, productivity, annual working days, and so on. 3. Since statistical data for application of these variables was insufficient as result of searching, questionnaire researching and discussion of specialist may be necessary. 4. Each independent variables should be inducted into an equation by using a adequate regression model and then estimated.
Key Words: Pediatric dentists, Demand estimation, Estimation model


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